Indonesian coal exports face structural risks as China cuts demand and ASEAN growth plateaus

Indonesia’s thermal coal exports by country, highlighting shifting demand for Indonesian coal exports.

Indonesian coal exports are entering a structurally weaker phase as China, the country’s largest buyer, cuts thermal coal imports and shifts further toward domestic production and non-fossil power. Export volumes to China peaked in 2023–24 but have since declined, and the report shows that ASEAN markets—despite strong long-term energy demand—cannot fully replace Chinese import capacity. India continues to import significant […]

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