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API4 Richards Bay thermal coal futures price chart showing recent market trends

Thermal coal prices firm as supply tightness offsets uneven demand

Global thermal coal prices moved higher this week, underpinned by tightening supply conditions across key export regions, even as demand signals remained mixed. Supply constraints in Indonesia, rail and port bottlenecks in South Africa, and firmer buying interest from China provided upward pressure on prices, offsetting softer consumption trends in parts of Europe and India. Regional divergence remained pronounced. Chinese […]

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Electricity generation mix showing coal-fired power dominance in China and India

Coal-fired power underpins energy security in China and India despite renewable growth

Coal-fired power continues to play a central role in the electricity systems of China and India, supplying the majority of power generation despite rapid growth in renewable capacity. Together, the two countries account for nearly 40% of global electricity demand, with coal still providing around 58% of generation in China and 75% in India, supported by relatively young plant fleets […]

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Thermal coal prices in Australia and Indonesia from 2019 to 2025

Australian coal exports diverge as metallurgical markets offset thermal weakness

Australian coal exports are set to follow diverging paths over the outlook period, with thermal coal export earnings forecast to ease from $32 billion in 2024–25 to $27 billion by 2026–27, reflecting softer demand and pricing. In contrast, metallurgical coal exports are expected to remain resilient at around $36–37 billion, underpinned by sustained steelmaking demand and Australia’s role as a […]

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API4 Richards Bay futures highlight weakness in thermal coal prices

Thermal coal prices weighed down by weak demand and ample inventories

Thermal coal prices remain under pressure across key regions as weak import demand, high inventories and subdued utility buying continue to cap any meaningful recovery. While freight dynamics are increasingly shaping regional competitiveness, cautious restocking behaviour in China and India is keeping global thermal coal markets largely rangebound despite pockets of policy and freight-related support. Short additional blurb (to pad […]

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