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Day: May 6, 2026

Monthly stacked bar chart of global seaborne coal exports by origin (Indonesia, Australia, Russia, South Africa, United States, Other) May 2025–May 2026.

Global coal market repriced on security as China demand strengthens

Line chart of Indonesia's monthly thermal coal exports (Mt) showing actual exports as a dark blue line with fluctuations; orange shaded window marks the 2023 stress period, and a pale red curved line projects a thinner buffer into 2026. Annotations note Jun–Sep 2023 at -8.1% YoY (full-year +12.9%), 2024 monthly average around 45.4 Mt, and Q1 2026 at -27% vs Q1 2024 with baseline softening; El Niño Watch 2026 Jun–Sep forecast window is indicated, with a red shaded area toward mid-2026 indicating risk. Source details at bottom.

Indonesia thermal coal bullish into H2 2026 as El Niño tightens supply

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