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India Coal Report – April 2024

Total Solid Fuel imports touched about ~ 26 MMT with Non coking imports exceeding 17 MMT. In the first 4 months of 2024, solid fuel imports exceed 91 MMT vs 81 MMT in first 4 months of 2023. Pet coke imports grew 34.42% to 5.61 MMT vs 4.17 MMT in first 4 months of 2023. PCI imports also continue their secular growth growing 16% in the first 4 months of 2024. Coking coal imports have grown ~ 12% and non coking coal imports ~ 10%.

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Glencore's-coal spin-off plan

Glencore’s coal spin-off plan concerns investors

Glencore’s spin-off plan arrives in the context of rising investor concerns about the responsibility of coal divestments and growing pressure on Scope 3 emissions. Although Glencore likes to highlight the brighter outlook for metallurgical coal, the spin-off would be predominantly a thermal coal miner.

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Weekly-coal-Price

Thermal coal prices go south

The international thermal coal market retreated during the week taking the south turn as coal supply improved in the market. With the exception of Indonesian coal prices, which are experiencing strong demand from the world’s largest coal importers, China and India, prices for coal from other international suppliers have declined during the week. This downward pressure is largely attributed to lower demand from China and India’s non-power sectors, coupled with positive news from the USA regarding coal shipments resuming from the Baltimore bridge.

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NERC-Summer

Delayed coal plant retirements are playing a key role in supporting grid reliability.

NERC’s latest reliability assessment shows that the U.S. electricity grid is becoming increasingly reliant on weather-dependent sources of electricity, leaving one-third of the country at elevated risk of blackouts this summer. However, the risks will increase because of EPA regulations. However, this is only a temporary band aid because EPA regulations will cause more coal retirements that cannot be delayed. These regulations, especially the recently announced Carbon Rule, increase the chance of blackouts.

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